5 Autonomous Cars Trends Everyone Should Know About In 2019

4 min read
Curated from forbes.com →

Every major automobile manufacturer is heavily investing in self-driving technology, and 2018 saw many pilot schemes taken onto highways and city roads. By the end of 2019, we may not all being chauffeured around town by robots as we sit in the back and catch up with our Facebook friends, but we will certainly be significantly closer than we are today.

Here are my five predictions for how that’s likely to come about:

Progress towards fully autonomous cars has been split into five stages – from level one, which refers to driver assistance functions common in many new vehicles, to level five – fully self-driving vehicles capable of operating on-or-off-road, with no human interaction required whatsoever.

Level five autonomy doesn’t exist yet, but manufacturers including Honda, Renault, BMW, and Toyota have said they hope to put fully autonomous cars into production by 2020, meaning we could expect to see trials and pilots taking place this year.

Of course, things don’t always go according to plan – Tesla for example, initially said it expected their cars to be fully autonomous by 2017. But with billions of dollars being poured into research and development by some of the world’s most technologically-adept companies, 2019 could be the year we see the first entirely autonomous cars start to appear on our streets.

2015 saw an Audi SQ5 engineered by Delphi make the 3,400-mile trip from San Francisco to New York; however, a human co-pilot took over the controls on several occasions, for safety reasons.

At the end of 2018, a former Google engineer completed a coast-to-coast journey in a level 2 autonomous vehicle apparently without taking control of the vehicle; however, cars at this level of automation still require a human to be available to take control.

And Tesla has delayed their own attempt several times after initially stating that their technology was capable of the feat in 2016, citing safety concerns.

The first manufacturer to complete a totally unassisted trip would certainly win kudos – and with the race to bring these vehicles to our streets heating up, could 2019 finally be the year we see it happen?

Of course, as well as ferrying us around, autonomous driving promises to revolutionize the haulage and logistics industry. With the majority of their driving done on straight, relatively easy to navigate highways, trucks, and HGVs are prime candidates for automation. And, of course, safety is another area that will benefit – with long-haul drivers subject to strict regulations governing the number of hours they can spend behind the wheel, due to the dangers of fatigue and concentration loss.

Next year will see the launch of Mercedes Benz’s Arocs semi-autonomous trucks, which will effectively drive themselves on highways while allowing drivers to step in and take control in urban environments, where higher precision driving is needed.

The Arocs system is designed to be used by a convoy of trucks – with a human-piloted vehicle taking the lead, and autonomous vehicles following its path. It will operate on journeys involving pre-defined routes, so route finding is done manually, but the autonomous driving systems are capable of recognizing and avoiding hazards in their path, as well as reacting to unexpected behavior from other road users.

If you’re thinking that the future involves owning your own self-driving car, you may be missing the point. According to several of the big players in the autonomous driving game, the idea is that it will no longer be necessary for the majority to own their own car.

A car is often one of the most expensive purchases a family or an individual will make – and is an object which spends 90% of its time sitting in a driveway or parking lot not being used. Particularly for those of us living in urban areas, ride sharing may be the future of transport – at least, that’s the thinking behind the autonomous projects in development by several major automobile and tech companies today.

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Yves Mulkers

Yves Mulkers is the founder of 7wData and a widely followed voice in the data and AI community. He curates the 7wData and AI Beat newsletters, reaching hundreds of thousands of data and AI professionals, and writes on data strategy, analytics, AI, and the evolving data ecosystem.