AI Automation Won’t Replace Jobs
As Software 2.0 takes shape, how are AI processes—and the jobs that go with them—changing?
When it comes to new AI automation, the Software 2.0 movement can be seen as akin to the auto industry’s recent evolution. Beginning in the 1990s and rapidly progressing into the 2000s, the auto industry saw a huge rise in AI automation such as digital vehicle diagnostics.
Throughout this, people worried that digital transformation might take jobs away, when instead it led to “greater profits, productivity, and competitiveness,” according to a 2008 study by the journal of Technological Forecasting and Social Change. In short, these innovations didn’t replace jobs, per se; they simply changed the processes of jobs from the manufacturer’s assembly line down to the mechanic’s garage.
An auto diagnostic specialist used to perform tedious tasks such as counting flashes and converting them to error codes on printed-out tables. Computerized diagnostic tools made this process faster, more reliable and, you might imagine, far less tedious. According to diagnostic specialists Helmut Frank and Uwe Schmidts, digital transformation went from being “a necessary evil to being a key to new, interesting and innovative functions.”
You might liken the above example to the innovations that AI automation and machine learning (ML) have offered to software developers, who until recently, were tasked with a much more hands-on approach to deploying and maintaining applications. In many ways, DevOps practices have heroically come in to break them free of this minutiae, automating many of the repetitive tasks involved in application management. By design, it’s increasing efficiency and security while decreasing tedium and the chance for human error.
Speaking to tedium, Mike Loukides and Ben Lorica, in their article “The road to Software 2.0” noted, “Up until now, we’ve built systems by carefully and painstakingly telling systems exactly what to do, instruction by instruction. The process is slow, tedious, and error-prone; most of us have spent days staring at a program that should work, but doesn’t.”
In short: Much like digital transformation brought efficiency to the life cycle of automobiles, AI automation is offering efficiency to every stage of the software development cycle.
Indeed, a new generation of AI automation and ML tools is now emerging, shaping what some call a Software 2.0 movement. But before you begin to fear that these tools will lead to a “they took our jobs!” revolt, consider that they may be celebrated instead as a means of not only augmenting the work of software developers but also helping offset the ongoing developer drought. According to a 2019 Stack Overflow survey, over a third of developers named “not enough people for the workload” as their primary challenge to productivity.
