CropProphet
CropProphet, founded by meteorologist Jan Dutton, provides weather-driven agricultural analytics for grain traders and agribusinesses.
Profile
Predicts crop yields using weather and agricultural data to help traders manage commodity price risk.
CropProphet, founded by meteorologist Jan Dutton, provides weather-driven agricultural analytics for grain traders and agribusinesses. The company specializes in predictive models that combine historical weather data, USDA crop reports, and ensemble weather forecasts to forecast yields for corn, soybeans, and oats. Its granular, production-weighted regional analysis—down to the county level—has proven critical for clients like Oat Information, which relied on CropProphet's drought alerts to challenge optimistic market consensus in the 2025 Canadian oats season.
The platform serves systematic traders, discretionary hedgers, and commodity analysts with daily yield forecasts updated through key growing periods (April–November for corn/soybeans, April–June for winter wheat). While revenue and headcount are undisclosed, client logos include StoneX, Olam, and The Andersons. A 2025 case study demonstrated how CropProphet's Saskatchewan soil moisture analysis anticipated StatsCan's yield revisions by weeks, though its reliance on USDA data inputs creates regulatory exposure.
Who buys this
- Grain merchandisers and physical traders
- Hedge funds and systematic commodity traders
- Agribusiness risk managers
- Agricultural advisory services
- Commodity data scientists
Publicly disclosed clients
- Oat Information
- StoneX
- Olam
- The Andersons
- Scoular
Strengths and what to watch
Strengths
- Production-weighted regional weather analysis outperforms generalized prairie-level data
- Machine learning models trained on 40+ years of USDA yield and weather data
- Integrates ECMWF and NOAA ensemble forecasts for 15-30 day yield risk scenarios
Watch for
- Dependence on USDA acreage reports—any delays or methodology changes could disrupt forecasts
- Niche focus on North American grains limits expansion into other crops/regions
- 2025 oats case study shows accuracy but may not generalize to all crop seasons
Recent moves
Key Information
- Founded
- 2009
- Headquarters
- State College, Pennsylvania, United
Frequently Asked Questions
What is CropProphet?
CropProphet is a weather-driven agricultural analytics platform that predicts crop yields using historical weather data, USDA reports, and ensemble forecasts. It helps grain traders and agribusinesses manage commodity price risk by providing daily yield forecasts for crops like corn, soybeans, and oats.
How does CropProphet predict crop yields?
CropProphet combines historical weather data, USDA crop reports, and ensemble weather forecasts to create predictive models. These models analyze regional weather patterns and crop conditions, offering granular, production-weighted forecasts down to the county level for crops like corn, soybeans, and oats.
Who uses CropProphet?
CropProphet serves grain merchandisers, hedge funds, agribusiness risk managers, agricultural advisory services, and commodity data scientists. Notable clients include StoneX, Olam, The Andersons, and Scoular, who rely on its forecasts for trading and risk management decisions.
What crops does CropProphet forecast?
CropProphet specializes in forecasting yields for corn, soybeans, and oats. Its models provide daily updates during key growing periods, such as April to November for corn and soybeans, and April to June for winter wheat.
What are CropProphet's strengths?
CropProphet excels with production-weighted regional weather analysis, machine learning models trained on 40+ years of USDA data, and integration of ECMWF and NOAA forecasts. Its granular forecasts help clients anticipate yield risks and make informed trading decisions.
What are the limitations of CropProphet?
CropProphet relies heavily on USDA acreage reports, making it vulnerable to delays or methodology changes. Its focus on North American grains limits expansion into other crops or regions, and its accuracy may vary across different crop seasons.
Sources
- www.cropprophet.com — 2025 oats market case study with Oat Information
- www.cropprophet.com — Model methodology and data sources
- www.cropprophet.com — Client logos and product offerings
- www.agweb.com — 2025 corn pollination issues affecting yield forecasts